We start in Hawaii in the middle of winter, transfer to California and Arizona, blending in a couple of desert locations, before continuing the west-east development in Florida, which is constantly significant since Florida is one state south of Augusta. We start to see spring throughout the Florida Swing then move a little north for the BellSouth in Atlanta prior to The Masters in complete bloom Shell Houston Open. That’s exactly what utilized to occur.
As far as I know it’s midsummer in Houston.
Further confusing my seasonal convenience zone is that The Players, up until this year the highlight of the Florida Swing, is going to happen after The Masters, in May, a month that in other more practical years followed the Trip north.
It’s another factor for this pre-Masters tournament to hurry and get over with. That said, today might present some fascinating possibilities. Prior to that, though, I need to state the current damage.
Recently: Of course, Tiger won: I didn’t select him recently. The Tiger Theory– choose him each week due to the fact that he can win 50% of the time when he’s going particularly well– is holding (he’s got two wins in 4 tourneys this year), however it does not do me a damn bit of good to uphold a theory and then abandon it, which I did last week. I need to be in it for the long haul. Part of it is that I feel lighter, less stressed out now that I’ve put Mickelson in the Out of the Concern classification. I put Tiger there, albeit with reservations, for a week and spent for it. The bigger hurt remained in the head-to-head. You need to win those. So far this year I’m 6-6 in the head-to-heads. Considered that the majority of the H2H picks are just this side or that of even money and given the long shots in the straight-out classification, a typical week if you win the H2H alone nets about half an unit. If you lose, you’re out one and a half units. So while the benefit isn’t really huge if you never ever win the straight-out, at least an H2H win defrays the larger cost of losing the H2H and outright.
At this week’s Shell Houston Open, take Bob Estes (125-1), 1/6 unit: This Texas native has made three cuts in six tournaments in 2007, notching one T25. Most of the world’s leading gamers not gotten in, the few with tickets to Augusta maybe distracted and more interested in dealing with their video games than in fact winning (though Mickelson sinks that argument)– another is that lower rung gamers may see it as an uncommon opportunity to win a Trip occasion. Look at a few of the winners of competitions played opposite the strong-field WGC occasions. Will MacKenzie won the Reno-Tahoe Open in 2015, for example. What I’m stating is these competitions are for opportunists. Estes finished second last year in the Shell Houston Open.
Take David Toms (16-1), 1/6 system: Toms is silently having an excellent year, with three top-10s and two top-20s. He’s having another great year putting. There’s talk of them accelerating the greens Augusta design today. I would believe that would prefer Toms.
Take Padraig Harrington (12-1), 1/6 unit: Harrington is likewise playing well. I’m sticking to him this week after last week’s T19. Of the couple of leading players, he stands apart (I simply do not have a lot of faith yet in Adam Scott). And speaking of putting? Uncomfortable as he looks, he’s one of the best out there nowadays.